Indian shares muted ahead of domestic, US inflation data

Indian shares were little changed on Wednesday, as investors awaited key U.S and domestic inflation data for cues into the rate trajectories of the two countries.

The NSE Nifty 50 (.NSEI), opens new tab added 0.13% to 24,641.8, while the BSE Sensex (.BSESN), opens new tab rose 0.02% to 81,526.14. The benchmark Nifty 50 has traded in a narrow range of less than 170 points in the three sessions this week after logging gains in the previous three weeks ended Dec. 6.

"The benchmarks have been muted in the last few sessions, reflecting caution ahead of U.S. inflation reading," said Prashant Tapse, senior vice president of research at Mehta Equities. The U.S. inflation data will shape the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook, which could impact foreign inflows into emerging markets such as India. Meanwhile, economists expect domestic inflation to have eased in November, a Reuters poll showed. The data is due on Thursday.

Moderation in inflation may allow the Reserve Bank of India to cut interest rates in its next policy meeting in February, amid rising growth concerns, two analysts said. The RBI kept rates unchanged in its policy meeting last week. Nine of the 13 major sectors rose, but gains were marginal. Banks (.NSEBANK), opens new tab and state-owned lenders (.NIFTYPSU), opens new tab dropped 0.35% and 0.9%, respectively. The broader, more domestically focussed smallcaps (.NIFSMCP100), opens new tab rose 0.4% to a record high and midcaps (.NIFMDCP100), opens new tab gained 0.3%. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all dropped between roughly one-third to one-quarter of a percentage point.

Sustained inflows from domestic and mutual fund investors into smallcaps and midcaps, driven by the prospect of outsized returns, is driving the rally, said two analysts. Among individual stocks, non-bank lender Bajaj Finance (BJFN.NS), opens new tab rose 2.6% after unveiling growth strategy for fiscal 2025-2029.

D-mart stores operator Avenue Supermarts (AVEU.NS), opens new tab fell about 3% after Goldman Sachs lowered target price, citing weakness in revenue growth.

Online food delivery platforms Swiggy (SWIG.NS), opens new tab and Zomato (ZOMT.NS), opens new tab fell 4% and 1.4% on Amazon's plans to enter Indian quick commerce.  

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